Pensacola veterans and families are being priced out. Here is what David Jolly would do about it.
David Jolly's plan to keep Gulf Coast veterans and working families in Escambia County rests on three moves: a state catastrophic fund that would pull hurricane coverage out of the collapsing private insurance market and cut homeowner premiums by a projected 60 to 70 percent, a cap on investor-owned utility profit at the national average, and a historic scale-up of workforce housing sited near where people actually work, including near NAS Pensacola.[1]
The plan for Pensacola, at a glance
Insurance out of the private market
Florida leads the nation in home insurance non-renewal rates. Jolly would move hurricane coverage into a state catastrophic fund, projecting 60 to 70 percent savings for coastal homeowners.[2][1]
Lower the monthly bill
Florida's largest utility is authorized a 10.95 percent return, among the highest in the country. Jolly would cap investor-owned utility profit at the national average of roughly 9 to 10 percent.[3]
Housing near where people work
Jolly would scale up workforce and affordable housing based on income, trade, and proximity to work, using public-private models the campaign points to from Miami to Pensacola.[1]
Why Pensacola is being priced out
Pensacola sits where two crises meet. A coastal insurance market in freefall. And a working-family and veteran community whose paychecks are not keeping up with the cost of a roof. For some, this is called an affordability crisis. For families near NAS Pensacola, it goes deeper than that. It is a question of whether they can afford to stay on the Gulf Coast at all.
The insurance story is the sharpest edge of it. Florida led the nation in homeowner-insurance non-renewal rates in 2023, at 2.99 percent of policies, with the second-highest state well behind.[2] National carriers pulled out or curtailed coverage between 2021 and 2024, citing hurricane-loss volatility.[4] On the Gulf Coast, where the storm risk is highest, that withdrawal hits hardest. Florida is consistently ranked the most expensive state in the country for homeowners insurance.[5]
The rest of the math follows. Florida's median single-family home price was $420,000 at the end of 2024, above the national median.[6] The average age of a first-time homebuyer has climbed toward record highs.[7] And roughly half of Floridians cannot cover a $1,000 emergency, which means that when a hurricane deductible or an insurance dispute lands, there is no cushion.[8] David Jolly names it plainly: for too many people, in pure economic terms, the state is now out of reach.[9]
The approach: three tools, one goal
Jolly's answer is not a slogan. It is a stack of tools that already exist and could be scaled. The first is insurance. On day one as governor, Jolly says he would introduce a package for a state catastrophic fund to fully remove hurricane and wind coverage from the private market, projecting savings of 60 to 70 percent for homeowners.[1] Florida already runs a version of this mechanism. The Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund, created after Hurricane Andrew, held a $7.12 billion balance as of the end of 2024 and backstops private insurers.[10] Jolly's plan expands that role rather than inventing a new one.
The second tool is the monthly bill. Florida's largest investor-owned utility is authorized to earn a 10.95 percent return on equity, among the highest in the country.[3] Jolly would cap investor-owned utility profit at the national average, still close to a 10 percent return, but fair to ratepayers.[1] Rent or mortgage is the biggest line item. Electricity is the next one. For a family stretched thin near the base, that difference is real.
The third tool is supply. Jolly would scale up workforce and affordable housing sited by income, trade, and proximity to work, pointing to public-private partnership models the campaign describes as successful from Miami to Pensacola.[1] Florida already has the financing machinery through SAIL, SHIP, and the Live Local Act's 10-year commitment.[11] The question, in his framing, is not whether the tools exist. It is whether Tallahassee will use them.
What Tallahassee blocked
Jolly draws a line here. He says the current governor and legislature are ideologically opposed to these housing solutions, and that Republican leadership has failed to invest in the workforce housing models that work.[1] He frames it against the party he first joined: one that believed in local control and keeping government out of your community.[12] Government closest to the people knows best, he argues, and Tallahassee should stop preempting local communities from making their own decisions.[12]
This is not politics as usual for Pensacola. It is a policy story on home turf. Different backgrounds. Different beliefs. Same understanding: hard work should be enough to keep a family near the base and the coast they serve. For a full picture of the affordability plan across housing, insurance, and utilities, see the campaign's main affordability page.
Frequently asked questions
Q. Why is my home insurance so expensive on the Gulf Coast?
Florida is one of the most expensive states in the country for homeowners insurance, ranking 1st or 2nd on most credible analyses. The drivers are hurricane risk (a structural feature of Florida geography), litigation costs, reinsurance prices set globally, and insurer withdrawals. Florida leads the nation in non-renewal rates.[5][2] Coastal markets like the Panhandle carry the highest storm risk, which flows straight into premiums.
Q. Why are so many insurance companies leaving Florida?
Florida led the nation in homeowner-insurance non-renewal rates at 2.99 percent of policies in 2023, with Louisiana second-highest at about 1.8 percent. Most non-renewals are insurer-initiated, not consumer-initiated. National insurers including Farmers, Bankers Insurance, and AAA (in some segments) pulled out of Florida or significantly curtailed coverage between 2021 and 2024, citing hurricane-loss volatility and reinsurance costs.[2][4]
Q. How would Jolly's state catastrophic fund help a Pensacola homeowner?
On day one as governor, Jolly says he would introduce a package for a state catastrophic fund to fully remove hurricane and wind coverage from the private market and reduce homeowner's insurance by 60 to 70 percent. He describes it as the only actuarially sound way to cover the risk of hurricanes in a state like Florida, and it builds on the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund that already exists.[1][10] For Gulf Coast homeowners carrying the highest storm risk, that savings would land hardest.
Q. Isn't a state catastrophic fund just a taxpayer bailout for risky homes?
It's the opposite of a bailout. It's a risk-pooling mechanism designed to lower costs for everyone. Today, every private Florida insurer prices hurricane risk into every policy, and because each carrier holds thin capital reserves relative to potential losses, they add huge risk margins. Pooling hurricane risk across all Florida homes spreads the exposure efficiently. The state already operates the FHCF as reinsurance for private insurers; Jolly's plan expands that mechanism. Homeowners would still pay for their state hurricane coverage, just at a lower combined cost than today.[1][10]
Q. What if I am a renter in Pensacola?
Florida is among the states with the most acute rent-affordability crisis. Rents rose dramatically from 2020 through 2023, and more than half of Florida renters are now cost-burdened, paying over 30 percent of income on housing. Jolly's plan would scale workforce and affordable housing units, expand existing SAIL and SHIP and Live Local programs, and target funding by proximity to work rather than scattered subsidies. His utility profit cap would also lower the monthly bills renters pay on top of rent. There is no rent control component to his plan.[11][1]
Q. Why does Jolly target utilities in a housing plan?
Because utility bills are part of the housing-affordability stack. Rent or mortgage is the biggest line item, but electricity, water, and gas are the next-largest fixed monthly housing cost for most Florida households. Florida Power & Light's authorized 10.95 percent return on equity is among the highest in the country, topping the 10.5 percent authorized for Tampa Electric. Bringing it down to the national average of around 9 to 10 percent doesn't crush utility investment; it just stops the outlier markup.[3][1]
Q. Won't capping utility profit hurt investment in Florida's grid?
The cap Jolly proposes would bring Florida's authorized utility return on equity in line with the national average, roughly 9 to 10 percent. Utilities in other states earning 9 to 10 percent continue to invest in grid modernization and storm hardening. There is no evidence that capping return at the national average suppresses investment; it just stops the outlier markup. Florida's 10.95 percent authorized return is among the highest in the country, not because Florida grid investment is uniquely expensive, but because the Public Service Commission approved it.[3]
Q. How much does the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund currently hold?
The Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund had a $7.12 billion balance as of December 31, 2024. It is statutorily authorized to cover up to $17 billion in losses, with estimated maximum financing capacity of about $11.2 billion for the 2025-26 contract year. The FHCF currently functions as a state-run reinsurance pool, backstopping private insurers rather than replacing them. Jolly's proposal would expand its role to absorb hurricane coverage directly out of the private market.[10]
Q. What if I am a first-time buyer trying to stay near the base?
The math is hard for first-time buyers in Florida right now. Median home price is above the national median, mortgage rates have hovered in the mid-6 to low-7 percent range, and insurance plus property taxes add hundreds per month on top of the mortgage.[6][7] Jolly's plan would expand state housing-finance programs and target workforce housing by proximity to work, which for Pensacola means near employment corridors including the base. The catastrophic fund and utility cap would each take direct cost off the monthly housing bill.[1][11]
Q. How does Jolly's plan differ from what the current governor already tried?
The recent state insurance reforms focused on litigation: assignment-of-benefits restrictions and one-way attorney fee elimination. Those reduced one driver of insurance costs but did not address the underlying structural problem of hurricane risk in every private policy. Jolly's plan is structurally different: it separates hurricane coverage entirely from the private market through an expanded state catastrophic fund, and it addresses utility costs with a return-on-equity cap. He says the current governor and legislature are ideologically opposed to these solutions, which are within reach right now.[1][4]
Q. Why is the first-time homebuyer age rising?
Higher home prices, higher mortgage rates, higher rents that constrain the savings rate needed for a down payment, and other cost pressures have combined to delay first-time home purchases. The National Association of Realtors reports the median first-time-buyer age reached a record 40 in 2025, up from 31 in 2014. Other data sources show a smaller increase but agree the trend is up sharply. Jolly points to this as evidence that Florida is slipping out of reach for the next generation.[7][9]
Q. Isn't this just price control or socialism?
Jolly's plan uses tools that already exist in Florida and across other states. The Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund has existed since 1993, started after Hurricane Andrew. Utility rate regulation by state public service commissions has existed in every state for over a century. State housing finance agencies and the federal Low Income Housing Tax Credit have operated since 1986 across blue and red states alike. The plan is to scale and update tools that have been part of the American public-private partnership for generations, not to invent new state controls.[10][11]
Sources
- David Jolly for Governor, Affordability and Insurance Crisis, https://davidjolly.com/affordability · 2024-01-01
- Central Florida Public Media (citing Insurify + Senate Budget Committee), Florida leads nation in home insurance non-renewal rates, https://www.cfpublic.org/housing-homelessness/2025-07-22/florida-leads-nation-in-home-insurance-non-renewal-rates · 2025-07-22
- Central Florida Public Media, FL Public Service Commission approves FPL rate settlement, https://www.cfpublic.org/politics/2025-11-20/psc-oks-fpl-deal-that-increases-base-rate-in-parts-of-florida · 2025-11-20
- Florida Office of Insurance Regulation, Property Insurance, https://floir.com/home/property · 2024-01-01
- Insurance Information Institute, Facts + Statistics: Homeowners and Renters Insurance, https://www.iii.org/fact-statistic/facts-statistics-homeowners-and-renters-insurance · 2025-01-01
- Florida Realtors, 2024 Year-End Housing Market Report, https://www.floridarealtors.org/newsroom/flas-2024-housing-market-new-listings-active-inventory-prices-stabilizing · 2025-01-23
- National Association of Realtors, First-Time Home Buyer Share Falls to Historic Low, https://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/first-time-home-buyer-share-falls-to-historic-low-of-21-median-age-rises-to-40 · 2025-11-01
- Bankrate, Annual Emergency Savings Survey, https://www.bankrate.com/banking/savings/emergency-savings-report/ · 2025-01-01
- David Jolly, The Free State of Florida (video), https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bcAeq5jc5a8 · 2026-05-22
- Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund, Annual Report, https://fhcf.sbafla.com/media/kfuhfqjv/2024-sba-catf-annual-report-final.pdf · 2024-12-31
- Florida Housing Finance Corporation, Workforce Housing Programs, https://www.floridahousing.org/programs/special-programs/workforce-housing · 2024-01-01
- David Jolly, Local control and Tallahassee preemption (video), https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhyYeaVTukY · 2026-05-21
This isn't a distant policy fight. It's whether Pensacola stays home.
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